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Red47
398618.9
561828.0
337914.0
Blue88
338622.9
399031.7
355017.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61612040801004788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.3
28.428.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
blue by 3.7
31.70.4
29.229.6
Auto0.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
3986
#10
18.90.3
19.219.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 4.0
3386
#12
22.90.4
20.420.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
3379
#30
14.00.3
14.514.1
Auto0.5
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 3.5
3550
#17
17.50.4
15.115.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0