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Red42
452611.4
39796.8
355017.5
Blue58
495712.9
338221.4
544021.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363502060801004258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3550
#17
17.50.4
15.015.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3382
#13
21.42.2
14.716.9
Auto0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
Second
4526
#36
11.40.5
9.710.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 9.6
5440
#11
21.02.2
10.312.4
Auto0.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
3979
#42
6.80.5
10.811.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 6.1
4957
#27
12.92.2
13.015.2
Auto0.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0