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Red30
107514.1
355017.5
262620.0
Blue16
35446.0
396916.5
452611.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54260204060801001201403016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2626
#19
20.01.8
18.516.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 3.5
3969
#29
16.51.3
11.410.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
3550
#17
17.51.1
15.414.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 6.1
4526
#36
11.41.3
10.39.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Third
1075
#31
14.11.8
17.415.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 8.2
3544
#37
6.01.3
9.98.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0