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Red62
416718.0
495228.5
557012.8
Blue135
494729.9
311736.9
398512.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4138020608010012062135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.51.8
21.423.2
Auto0.6
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 8.4
36.94.7
17.021.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
4167
#16
18.01.8
8.810.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 11.9
29.97.8
12.920.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
5570
#33
12.81.8
10.612.3
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 0.4
3985
#32
12.47.8
11.018.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0