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Red56
55536.2
336049.2
398618.9
Blue56
399642.0
54396.0
355017.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6237020801001201401605656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.2
38.037.8
Auto5.7
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 7.2
42.01.2
22.824.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
Second
3986
#10
18.90.2
16.516.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 1.4
3550
#17
17.50.7
13.414.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Third
5553
#40
6.20.3
5.65.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.5
End0.0
red by 0.2
5439
#43
6.01.2
5.87.0
Auto0.5
Teleop5.5
End0.0