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Red70
35446.0
398618.9
399031.7
Blue32
50955.3
517914.8
495228.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474002060801007032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.71.1
23.824.9
Auto0.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 3.2
28.50.9
23.222.3
Auto0.6
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
3986
#10
18.91.1
16.317.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 4.1
5179
#23
14.80.9
8.47.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
3544
#37
6.01.9
7.39.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0
red by 0.7
5095
#44
5.30.9
11.010.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.7
End0.0