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Red72
544415.3
338622.9
55536.2
Blue11
49552.7
39810.8
262620.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292701020405060707211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3386
#12
22.92.2
18.420.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
red by 2.9
2626
#19
20.01.6
21.419.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
5444
#14
15.33.6
5.49.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 12.6
4955
#45
2.71.6
3.01.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0
Third
5553
#40
6.23.6
5.28.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.5
End0.0
red by 5.4
3981
#47
0.81.6
5.53.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.3
End0.0