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Red35
517914.8
544324.4
396916.5
Blue12
39810.8
557012.8
49423.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions501404060801001201401603512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5443
#26
24.40.4
15.915.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 11.6
5570
#33
12.80.2
13.713.6
Auto0.9
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Second
3969
#29
16.50.4
17.016.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 13.4
4942
#46
3.10.2
4.64.4
Auto0.4
Teleop2.8
End0.0
Third
5179
#23
14.80.4
13.413.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.9
End0.0
red by 14.0
3981
#47
0.80.2
2.22.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop1.3
End0.0