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Red38
35446.0
561828.0
398512.4
Blue40
398816.7
544021.0
55536.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494202060801001203840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.00.9
27.626.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 7.0
5440
#11
21.00.4
18.918.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
3985
#32
12.40.9
13.712.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 4.3
3988
#28
16.70.2
18.017.7
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
3544
#37
6.00.9
8.47.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0
blue by 0.2
5553
#40
6.20.4
7.97.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop6.5
End0.0