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Red60
452611.4
416718.0
353212.9
Blue42
396916.5
544415.3
29611.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294201001502006042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4167
#16
18.02.0
14.616.6
Auto0.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 1.6
3969
#29
16.50.0
16.616.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
3532
#35
12.92.0
10.912.8
Auto0.8
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5444
#14
15.30.0
13.113.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
4526
#36
11.42.0
6.98.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 0.4
296
#34
11.80.0
11.811.8
Auto0.0
Teleop11.7
End0.0