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Red50
398618.9
355017.5
353312.2
Blue66
49552.7
552827.1
400718.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50290204060801001201405066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3986
#10
18.90.1
19.920.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 8.2
5528
#18
27.12.3
17.720.0
Auto0.5
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Second
3550
#17
17.50.1
16.116.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
blue by 1.4
4007
#15
18.92.3
16.218.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Third
3533
#38
12.20.1
12.812.9
Auto1.7
Teleop10.4
End0.0
red by 9.5
4955
#45
2.72.3
-0.12.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.0