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Red151
311736.9
399642.0
544324.4
Blue110
338622.9
399031.7
355017.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8863050100150200151110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.3
36.337.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop42.0
End0.0
red by 10.3
31.70.7
30.831.5
Auto0.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
36.91.1
32.333.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 14.1
3386
#12
22.90.7
22.122.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.1
End0.0
Third
5443
#26
24.41.3
18.720.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
red by 6.9
3550
#17
17.50.7
16.717.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0