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Red156
259051.2
336049.2
552827.1
Blue87
544021.0
495228.5
398816.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12251010015020025015687

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.7
47.548.2
Auto2.7
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 22.7
28.50.5
27.628.1
Auto0.6
Teleop27.9
End0.0
Second
49.20.7
45.546.2
Auto5.7
Teleop43.5
End0.0
red by 28.2
5440
#11
21.00.5
20.120.6
Auto0.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Third
5528
#18
27.10.8
22.623.4
Auto0.5
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 10.4
3988
#28
16.70.4
16.016.4
Auto0.2
Teleop16.5
End0.0