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Red48
17641.6
6140.2
207919.7
Blue165
110032.0
173536.6
252328.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103875015020048165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
41.60.9
42.541.6
Auto1.1
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 5.0
36.61.2
35.436.6
Auto1.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
61
#2
40.20.9
41.140.2
Auto1.8
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 8.2
1100
#20
32.01.2
30.832.0
Auto3.8
Teleop28.2
End0.0
Third
2079
#28
19.70.9
20.719.7
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 8.4
2523
#21
28.11.2
26.928.1
Auto3.2
Teleop24.9
End0.0