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Red89
151727.2
207919.7
405536.1
Blue136
173536.6
371926.4
109930.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6936020608010012014016089136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.11.1
26.928.0
Auto0.5
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 0.5
36.64.7
13.718.3
Auto1.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
1517
#12
27.21.1
18.419.5
Auto1.1
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 3.1
30.34.7
10.014.7
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
2079
#28
19.71.1
21.422.5
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 6.6
3719
#14
26.44.7
19.023.7
Auto0.6
Teleop25.7
End0.0