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Red109
207919.7
226215.4
12550.7
Blue90
511228.7
405536.1
55830.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6574020030040050060070010990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
50.72.0
39.841.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 14.5
36.10.8
29.930.6
Auto0.5
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
2079
#28
19.72.0
23.825.8
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 10.8
558
#10
30.60.8
21.622.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Third
2262
#32
15.43.4
5.08.3
Auto1.5
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 13.3
28.70.8
23.424.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0