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Red27
135012.7
197317.3
355510.6
Blue48
362325.9
71624.8
173536.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21700501001502002748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1973
#27
17.30.1
11.911.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 19.3
36.60.8
18.517.7
Auto1.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
1350
#37
12.70.1
11.010.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 13.2
3623
#18
25.90.8
25.224.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
Third
3555
#36
10.60.2
6.26.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 14.2
716
#26
24.80.8
21.020.1
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0