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Red70
6140.2
362325.9
151727.2
Blue42
540013.1
7840.2
415110.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7759020401001201401607042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61
#2
40.20.1
31.831.8
Auto1.8
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 0.1
78
#16
40.21.1
38.637.5
Auto0.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
1517
#12
27.20.1
19.819.8
Auto1.1
Teleop26.0
End0.0
red by 14.1
5400
#34
13.11.1
15.614.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
3623
#18
25.90.1
25.425.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
red by 15.3
4151
#31
10.61.1
9.78.6
Auto0.4
Teleop10.2
End0.0