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Red42
115320.8
355510.6
362325.9
Blue29
573816.6
197317.3
207919.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52492030406070804229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3623
#18
25.90.6
25.625.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
red by 6.2
2079
#28
19.71.1
23.322.2
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Second
1153
#22
20.80.6
17.617.0
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
red by 3.6
1973
#27
17.31.1
13.812.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
3555
#36
10.61.0
10.49.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
5738
#35
16.61.1
13.912.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0