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Red114
151727.2
476126.5
549428.9
Blue85
556321.3
511228.7
6140.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6777010015020025030035011485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5494
#11
28.92.2
25.427.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
blue by 11.3
61
#2
40.20.3
34.334.6
Auto1.8
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
1517
#12
27.22.2
19.621.8
Auto1.1
Teleop26.0
End0.0
blue by 1.5
28.70.3
26.626.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Third
4761
#17
26.52.2
25.627.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 5.2
5563
#23
21.30.3
17.317.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.6
End0.0