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Red108
12550.7
476126.5
362325.9
Blue108
226215.4
173536.6
15730.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106410150200108108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
50.70.4
47.047.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 14.1
36.62.7
20.823.6
Auto1.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
4761
#17
26.50.4
27.828.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
157
#13
30.22.7
27.129.8
Auto0.5
Teleop29.8
End0.0
Third
3623
#18
25.90.4
25.125.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
red by 10.5
2262
#32
15.44.3
5.19.4
Auto1.5
Teleop13.9
End0.0