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Red58
476126.5
511228.7
573816.6
Blue39
447417.4
17408.3
216839.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583002040801001201405839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.1
19.819.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 10.5
39.20.5
24.925.3
Auto0.3
Teleop38.9
End0.0
Second
4761
#17
26.50.1
20.820.9
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.0
End0.0
red by 9.0
4474
#19
17.40.5
2.42.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
5738
#35
16.60.1
15.215.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
1740
#38
8.30.8
8.18.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.7
End0.0