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Red78
55830.6
115320.8
226215.4
Blue118
549428.9
6140.2
71624.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4891015020025078118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#10
30.61.4
31.032.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
blue by 9.6
61
#2
40.21.5
36.237.7
Auto1.8
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Second
1153
#22
20.81.4
16.517.8
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5494
#11
28.91.5
27.629.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
Third
2262
#32
15.42.0
9.411.3
Auto1.5
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 9.4
716
#26
24.81.5
23.625.1
Auto0.8
Teleop24.0
End0.0