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Red100
511228.7
549428.9
207919.7
Blue118
7840.2
173536.6
175719.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7284050100150200250300350100118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5494
#11
28.91.2
28.930.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.2
End0.0
blue by 11.2
78
#16
40.21.6
41.443.0
Auto0.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
28.71.2
28.229.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
blue by 7.9
36.61.6
29.030.7
Auto1.9
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
2079
#28
19.71.2
19.821.0
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 0.7
1757
#24
19.02.0
15.017.0
Auto1.0
Teleop18.0
End0.0