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Red96
17641.6
6140.2
207919.7
Blue104
206738.7
109930.3
115320.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105835015096104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
41.60.2
42.842.6
Auto1.1
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 3.0
38.70.2
38.438.7
Auto0.6
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
61
#2
40.20.2
41.441.2
Auto1.8
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 9.9
30.30.2
30.030.3
Auto0.1
Teleop30.2
End0.0
Third
2079
#28
19.70.2
20.920.8
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 1.1
1153
#22
20.80.2
20.620.8
Auto0.2
Teleop20.6
End0.0