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Red114
153326.9
126131.8
205917.1
Blue125
445133.8
382443.4
407315.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6791050150200114125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.80.9
30.831.8
Auto0.8
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 11.6
43.40.8
42.643.4
Auto0.2
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Second
1533
#10
26.90.9
26.026.9
Auto1.6
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 6.9
33.80.8
33.033.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Third
2059
#52
17.10.9
16.217.1
Auto1.0
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 1.4
4073
#44
15.70.8
15.015.7
Auto0.8
Teleop14.9
End0.0