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Red21
34220.3
482312.3
90018.9
Blue24
105112.5
50203.8
348914.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372802060801001201402124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#11
20.31.3
14.112.7
Auto0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 5.8
3489
#39
14.50.5
14.914.3
Auto1.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Second
900
#19
18.91.3
16.014.7
Auto0.6
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 6.4
1051
#34
12.50.5
9.79.2
Auto0.4
Teleop12.1
End0.0
Third
4823
#41
12.31.3
6.95.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 8.5
5020
#55
3.80.5
5.65.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0