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Qual 172015 Palmetto Regional
Red18
345920.3
493513.6
53277.1
Blue16
506310.6
83611.8
53179.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2346060801001201401601816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
#17
20.30.3
10.8→10.5
Auto0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 8.5
836
#63
11.82.3
21.8→19.5
Auto0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
Second
4935
#29
13.60.3
9.2→8.9
Auto0.5
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 2.9
5063
#33
10.62.3
10.5→8.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.7
End0.0
Third
5327
#62
7.10.3
7.4→7.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.3
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5317
#49
9.02.3
11.8→9.4
Auto1.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0