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Red5
90018.9
264011.9
83611.8
Blue28
5879.0
39760.7
281514.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53240406080100120140160528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#19
18.93.8
14.710.9
Auto0.6
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 4.1
2815
#24
14.90.1
10.310.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
2640
#47
11.93.8
16.012.3
Auto0.5
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 2.8
587
#46
9.00.1
10.310.1
Auto0.3
Teleop8.8
End0.0
Third
836
#63
11.83.8
19.515.7
Auto0.1
Teleop11.7
End0.0
red by 11.1
3976
#58
0.70.1
9.19.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.9
End0.0