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Red33
265522.8
13985.5
28112.0
Blue15
187631.6
218717.6
51302.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364002060801001201403315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.4
18.918.5
Auto1.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 8.8
31.61.7
19.818.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Second
281
#53
12.00.4
11.210.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 5.6
2187
#18
17.61.7
13.611.9
Auto1.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
1398
#50
5.50.4
8.37.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.5
End0.0
red by 2.9
5130
#64
2.51.7
7.76.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.0