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Red18
5879.0
34619.4
265522.8
Blue14
349018.3
493513.6
50203.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4417060801001201401601814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.82.0
18.516.5
Auto1.7
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 4.5
3490
#25
18.30.6
10.39.7
Auto0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Second
346
#23
19.42.0
12.910.9
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 5.8
4935
#29
13.60.6
7.56.9
Auto0.5
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
587
#46
9.02.0
10.18.2
Auto0.3
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 5.2
5020
#55
3.80.6
3.83.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0