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Red26
175815.1
493513.6
128710.0
Blue60
490215.0
445133.8
49658.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334502060801001201402660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1758
#30
15.10.9
15.414.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 18.8
33.81.2
23.624.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Second
4935
#29
13.60.9
6.96.0
Auto0.5
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
4902
#16
15.01.2
13.014.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
1287
#54
10.00.9
14.213.3
Auto0.0
Teleop10.0
End0.0
red by 1.4
4965
#59
8.61.2
8.59.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0