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Red57
349018.3
348914.5
12016.2
Blue48
153914.8
218717.6
457618.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334102060801001205748

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3490
#25
18.32.3
9.711.9
Auto0.3
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 0.2
4576
#22
18.10.5
13.413.9
Auto1.2
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
120
#45
16.22.3
9.511.8
Auto0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2187
#18
17.60.5
14.715.2
Auto1.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
3489
#39
14.52.3
16.618.9
Auto1.4
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 0.3
1539
#26
14.80.5
13.413.9
Auto1.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0