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Red36
40989.4
51302.5
345920.3
Blue52
105112.5
42213.7
43513.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283702060801001201403652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3459
#17
20.31.0
17.218.2
Auto0.0
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 6.6
422
#36
13.71.3
13.414.7
Auto0.6
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Second
4098
#48
9.41.0
8.89.8
Auto0.4
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 3.6
435
#35
13.01.3
10.011.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
5130
#64
2.51.0
4.15.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.0
blue by 10.0
1051
#34
12.51.3
13.414.7
Auto0.4
Teleop12.1
End0.0