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Red19
490215.0
202814.0
153914.8
Blue8
51808.6
51302.5
122520.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5127020406080100120140160198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4902
#16
15.02.5
19.517.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 5.6
1225
#32
20.61.5
18.817.3
Auto0.0
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
1539
#26
14.82.5
16.513.9
Auto1.3
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 6.2
5180
#38
8.61.5
8.36.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
Third
2028
#21
14.02.5
13.511.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 11.5
5130
#64
2.51.5
5.03.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.6
End0.0