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Red77
34619.4
53179.0
187631.6
Blue75
175815.1
281514.9
407519.5
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494101001507775

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.62.3
27.129.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 12.1
19.52.6
16.218.8
Auto0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Second
346
#23
19.42.3
15.818.1
Auto0.0
Teleop19.3
End0.0
red by 4.3
1758
#30
15.12.6
14.617.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
5317
#49
9.02.3
6.38.6
Auto1.0
Teleop8.1
End0.0
blue by 5.8
2815
#24
14.92.6
12.915.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0