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Red36
50203.8
49658.6
263217.0
Blue4
39760.7
13985.5
155312.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282901020405060364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2632
#14
17.00.5
16.517.0
Auto1.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 4.3
1553
#31
12.72.2
19.116.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
4965
#59
8.60.5
9.810.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 3.2
1398
#50
5.52.2
6.13.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.5
End0.0
Third
5020
#55
3.80.5
3.33.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.9
End0.0
red by 3.1
3976
#58
0.72.2
4.82.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop0.9
End0.0