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Final 12015 Tesla Division
Red193
213784.7
132321.6
382476.0
Blue210
347669.5
252630.9
313273.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174158100200250193210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#3
84.70.2
83.3→83.5
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 10.9
3132
#2
73.80.7
71.3→72.0
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
Second
3824
#11
76.00.2
74.6→74.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop77.0
End0.0
red by 6.5
3476
#15
69.50.7
67.0→67.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
Third
1323
#76
21.60.2
20.2→20.4
Auto0.8
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 9.3
2526
#72
30.90.7
28.4→29.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.3
End0.0