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Red216
213784.7
132321.6
382476.0
Blue239
347669.5
252630.9
313273.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176163100150200250216239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.70.6
84.184.7
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 10.9
73.81.1
72.673.8
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
Second
3824
#11
76.00.6
75.576.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop77.0
End0.0
red by 6.5
3476
#15
69.51.1
68.469.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
Third
1323
#76
21.60.6
21.021.6
Auto0.8
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 9.3
2526
#72
30.91.1
29.830.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.3
End0.0