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Quarterfinal pool 72015 Tesla Division
Red162
347669.5
252630.9
313273.8
Blue187
34060.7
31957.1
165855.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163161100120140180200220240162187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#2
73.80.0
70.4→70.3
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
red by 13.0
340
#10
60.70.3
60.2→60.4
Auto0.5
Teleop60.3
End0.0
Second
3476
#15
69.50.0
66.1→66.1
Auto-0.7
Teleop70.2
End0.0
red by 12.5
319
#12
57.10.3
56.5→56.8
Auto11.5
Teleop45.5
End0.0
Third
2526
#72
30.90.0
28.4→28.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.3
End0.0
blue by 24.1
1658
#33
55.00.3
54.5→54.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0