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Red158
295971.6
258754.5
164736.5
Blue70
239921.4
151532.5
161019.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15945010020025015870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.60.6
57.157.7
Auto0.4
Teleop71.2
End0.0
red by 39.2
1515
#51
32.50.6
24.024.5
Auto1.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
Second
2587
#20
54.50.6
45.345.8
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
red by 33.1
2399
#65
21.40.6
19.119.7
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
1647
#52
36.50.6
44.344.9
Auto1.7
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 16.8
1610
#74
19.70.6
21.922.4
Auto2.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0