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Red20
132321.6
295016.8
122530.4
Blue71
293044.0
70646.3
457123.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4610501502002071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1225
#63
30.41.9
32.931.0
Auto0.4
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 15.9
706
#22
46.31.4
36.735.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
1323
#76
21.61.9
16.014.1
Auto0.8
Teleop20.8
End0.0
blue by 22.4
2930
#35
44.01.4
46.845.4
Auto0.7
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Third
2950
#64
16.81.9
8.56.6
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 6.9
4571
#49
23.72.0
15.613.5
Auto0.9
Teleop22.8
End0.0