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Qual 1032015 Tesla Division
Red134
161019.7
313273.8
287533.8
Blue152
400354.9
384727.7
263554.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1131260200300400500134152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3132
#2
73.80.7
66.1→66.8
Auto8.1
Teleop65.6
End0.0
red by 18.8
4003
#28
54.91.2
54.9→56.1
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.0
Second
2875
#43
33.80.7
33.9→34.6
Auto0.4
Teleop33.4
End0.0
blue by 20.6
2635
#26
54.41.2
50.6→51.8
Auto0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Third
1610
#74
19.70.7
19.5→20.3
Auto2.1
Teleop17.6
End0.0
blue by 8.0
3847
#31
27.71.2
22.8→24.0
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0