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Red198
151532.5
205467.9
206258.8
Blue176
248633.8
70646.3
213784.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15014280100120160180200220198176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#13
67.92.2
66.168.3
Auto14.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
blue by 16.8
84.71.4
75.977.3
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
Second
2062
#29
58.82.2
59.661.8
Auto0.8
Teleop58.0
End0.0
red by 12.5
706
#22
46.31.4
42.644.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
1515
#51
32.52.2
28.430.6
Auto1.3
Teleop31.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2486
#46
33.81.4
29.931.3
Auto0.7
Teleop33.1
End0.0