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Qual 142015 Tesla Division
Red140
205467.9
394129.1
66823.2
Blue153
14143.4
258754.5
571227.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111076080100120140160140153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2054
#13
67.91.4
71.3→72.7
Auto14.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
red by 13.4
2587
#20
54.52.0
45.8→47.8
Auto0.0
Teleop54.4
End0.0
Second
3941
#40
29.11.4
20.2→21.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop29.8
End0.0
blue by 14.4
141
#50
43.42.0
42.8→44.8
Auto0.8
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
668
#69
23.21.4
21.1→22.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 4.7
5712
#68
27.92.0
25.1→27.1
Auto0.8
Teleop27.2
End0.0