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Red175
261316.9
400354.9
336058.6
Blue128
152349.7
542212.8
34060.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12480050100150200250175128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.62.7
53.456.1
Auto8.0
Teleop50.6
End0.0
blue by 2.2
340
#10
60.71.9
48.550.4
Auto0.5
Teleop60.3
End0.0
Second
4003
#28
54.92.7
50.553.2
Auto10.8
Teleop44.1
End0.0
red by 5.3
1523
#18
49.71.9
35.937.8
Auto0.9
Teleop48.8
End0.0
Third
2613
#47
16.92.7
17.320.0
Auto1.5
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 4.1
5422
#66
12.81.9
5.37.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0