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Qual 352015 Tesla Division
Red142
165855.0
29241.8
4857.4
Blue154
62485.0
263554.4
24425.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions151144100120160180200142154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#14
57.40.7
59.8→59.2
Auto0.2
Teleop57.1
End0.0
blue by 27.6
624
#4
85.00.2
78.8→79.0
Auto12.0
Teleop73.0
End0.0
Second
1658
#33
55.00.7
55.8→55.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 0.6
2635
#26
54.40.2
50.6→50.8
Auto0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
Third
292
#41
41.80.7
40.0→39.3
Auto1.2
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 16.5
244
#44
25.30.2
20.7→20.9
Auto1.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0