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Qual 622015 Tesla Division
Red116
541538.1
425647.5
140345.4
Blue178
205467.9
384727.7
248191.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132176050100150200250300116178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4256
#23
47.51.4
45.0→43.6
Auto1.6
Teleop45.9
End0.0
blue by 44.0
2481
#1
91.50.1
85.4→85.5
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
Second
1403
#48
45.41.4
63.7→62.3
Auto-1.9
Teleop47.2
End0.0
blue by 22.5
2054
#13
67.90.1
71.6→71.7
Auto14.5
Teleop53.3
End0.0
Third
5415
#57
38.11.4
35.2→33.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop38.4
End0.0
red by 10.4
3847
#31
27.70.1
18.6→18.7
Auto1.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0