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Qual 702015 Tesla Division
Red219
241545.2
365646.3
213784.7
Blue98
541538.1
567821.3
22661.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1609305020025021998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2137
#3
84.73.2
68.9→72.1
Auto0.4
Teleop84.3
End0.0
red by 23.4
226
#32
61.20.4
58.7→58.3
Auto0.1
Teleop61.2
End0.0
Second
3656
#17
46.33.2
45.4→48.6
Auto-1.2
Teleop47.5
End0.0
red by 8.2
5415
#57
38.10.4
33.8→33.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop38.4
End0.0
Third
2415
#21
45.23.2
40.5→43.7
Auto0.4
Teleop44.8
End0.0
red by 23.9
5678
#59
21.30.4
14.4→14.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop21.4
End0.0