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Red256
34060.7
248191.5
4857.4
Blue56
102548.0
382476.0
165855.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18618210015020025025656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
91.53.2
85.588.7
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
red by 15.5
3824
#11
76.06.7
75.568.9
Auto-1.0
Teleop77.0
End0.0
Second
340
#10
60.73.2
48.751.9
Auto0.5
Teleop60.3
End0.0
red by 5.7
1658
#33
55.06.7
57.851.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
Third
48
#14
57.43.2
58.161.3
Auto0.2
Teleop57.1
End0.0
red by 9.4
1025
#45
48.06.7
56.149.5
Auto1.8
Teleop46.2
End0.0